Seahawks: By the Bye
The Seahawks have some clockwork to do this week. Below is featured each bye week from the first bye week in Week 4, through (yet to be elapsed) Week 11 and their outcomes. I was interested in seeing how the league, in general, has fared after a bye week. Of course, it stands to reason that superb teams should win after a bye. With one exception, the Chargers’ loss to the Browns following their Week 7 bye, all other projected outcomes had been uninfluenced by the bye.
Breakdown of the bye list. On one line, I listed the NFL week # and the teams whose bye week it was. I also color coded the normal projection, green font for expected win, red for expected loss. Then I followed that line with the outcomes of the games those (bye week) teams played in the subsequent week. Using the green/red font coding, I presented the actual outcomes of those games. Excuse the redundancies. In a few instances, just to represent the perspective of each team after their bye, I repeated the outcome of their post-bye week games with them listed first, then their opponent. This redundancy occurs in the instances where two teams met after they each came off a bye, such as the Eagles and Falcons meeting in Week 8 after both had Week 7 byes. The Bills and Texans faced each other in Week 9 after each rested in Week 8. The weirdest outcome between two teams meeting after each other’s bye week was the Rams at 49ers game, which ended in a tie after 5 full 15 minute quarters. So where some think a bye is helpful to rest up players, in this case the game after took more out of them, 25% more.
Week 4 byes: Colts, Steelers
- Week 5 outcomes: Colts beat Packers 30 – 27, Steelers beat Eagles 16 – 14
Week 5 byes: Cowboys, Lions, Raiders, Buccaneers
- Week 6 outcomes: Cowboys lost to Ravens 29 – 31, Lions beat Eagles 26 – 23, Raiders lost to Falcons 20 – 23, Buccaneers beat Chiefs 38 – 10
Week 6 byes: Panthers, Bears, Jaguars, Saints
- Week 7 outcomes: Panthers lost to Cowboys 14 – 19, Bears beat Lions 13 – 7, Jaguars lost to Raiders 23 – 26, Saints beat Buccaneers 35 – 28
Week 7 byes: Falcons, Broncos, Chiefs, Dolphins, Eagles, Chargers
- Week 8 outcomes: Falcons beat Eagles 30 – 17, Broncos beat Saints 34 – 14, Chiefs lost to Raiders 16 – 26, Dolphins beat Jets 30 – 9, Eagles lost to Falcons 17 – 30, Chargers lost to Browns 6 – 7
Week 8 byes: Ravens, Bills, Bengals, Texans
- Week 9 outcomes: Ravens beat Browns 25 – 15, Bills lost to Texans 9 – 21, Bengals lost to Broncos 23 – 31, Texans beat Bills 21 – 9
Week 9 byes: Patriots, Jets, 49ers, Rams
- Week 10 outcomes: Patriots beat Bills 37 – 31, Jets lost to Seahawks 7 – 28, 49ers tied Rams 24 – 24, Rams tied 49ers 24 – 24
Below are the Week 10 bye week teams and their Week 11 games along with my projected outcomes, followed by the Week 11 bye week teams and their Week 12 games and projections.
Week 10 byes: Cardinals, Browns, Packers, Redskins
Week 11 matches for teams who were on a bye in Week 10 with:
- Cardinals at Falcons
- Browns at Cowboys
- Packers at Lions
- Eagles at Redskins
What does this mean for the Seahawks as they prepare to play in Miami after Seattle’s Week 11 bye?
Let’s put this in the same context as the previous bye week breakdowns first.
Week 12 matches for teams who were on a bye in Week 11:
- Vikings at Bears
- Packers at Giants
- Seahawks at Dolphins
- Titans at Jaguars
The Bears may have lost Jay Cutler for some time due to a concussion suffered in the Week 10′s Sunday Night Football. Still I like them in this game against the Vikings. When the Packers faced a team coming off a bye (Colts), they’ve lost. I favor the Giants in this game. The Seahawks have already done well against the AFC East. I expect them to win. The Titans should play well against the Jaguars.
At the time, the Seahawks were in dire straits. They were 2 – 7 visiting a 5 – 4 Dolphins squad. They played in Week 10 of the 2008 season. The Seahawks employed Seneca Wallace at quarterback and lost by 2 points. The Dolphins play another future foe of the Seahawks (Bills) during Seattle’s bye week on Thursday Night Football in prime time. So I expect many Seattle Sports Nuts will have scouted this game before their team flies to South Florida. I also expect to learn more about Miami’s run defense which was suspect in their loss to the Titans this week. This was a Titans’ “drubbing” of the Dolphins in Miami!
Might I suggest the Seahawks prepare for what equates to a 10am (local Seattle time) start when visiting Miami? Both 10am starts this season were on the road against the Rams and Lions. The one thing Seattle has going for them in terms of time and “setting” (natural or artificial), is the play well outdoors. However, they shouldn’t avoid the fact that their game in Miami is an early one.
The Seahawks in 2012 when playing into the hands of an indiscriminate mother nature thru Week 10.
- Outdoor record: 6 -1
- Away outdoor record: 1 – 1
- 10am Seattle-time start: 0 – 2
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